Grim Javelineer

Common · Creature — Human Warrior

Pick rating

4.4WeakRank 212 of 271

Observed strength

54.4%Rank 174 of 273 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A good playable, but is sometimes cut (4.4/10).

Why. A 3/2 for three that, whenever you attack, gives target attacking creature +1/+0. If that creature dies this turn, you surveil 1. It pushes attacks through and adds a little value.

Risks. With only 2 toughness it dies in the first trade. Its effect only matters when you attack, and the bonus lasts a single turn.

In the draft. A decent mid-curve body for aggressive black decks. Not a priority, but a steady playable.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game54.4 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card in the opening hand53.5 %(set average : 54.9 %)
Card drawn during the game55.0 %(set average : 56.3 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : 0.0 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)45.0 %(set average : 63.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 61 of 91
  • Black: rank 28 of 37
  • Cost 3: rank 45 of 63
  • Average pick: 9.5 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

33,036 games54.4 %(all pairs : 54.3 %)
26,768 games55.3 %(all pairs : 54.3 %)
13,798 games55.6 %(all pairs : 54.3 %)
13,332 games52.4 %(all pairs : 54.3 %)
1,642 games48.6 %(all pairs : 54.3 %)
1,223 games54.3 %(all pairs : 54.3 %)
1,175 games49.5 %(all pairs : 54.3 %)
989 games51.1 %(all pairs : 54.3 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand53.2 %· 7,585 games
All players, card in hand54.4 %· 44,309 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)56.9 %(set average : 57.7 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)51.7 %(set average : 52.2 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy54.2 % · 75,228 games
  • 2 copies54.5 % · 17,173 games
  • 3 copies54.9 % · 2,035 games
  • 4 copies or more57.6 % · 203 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks54.7 % · 24,580 games
  • Next two weeks54.0 % · 13,764 games
  • After that54.5 % · 5,965 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

B/R · 50 %B/W · 46 %

Played in 11% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Embalmed Ascendant

    44. Embalmed Ascendant

    7.0
  • Carrion Cruiser

    87. Carrion Cruiser

    6.2
  • Spin Out

    107. Spin Out

    6.0
  • Hour of Victory

    131. Hour of Victory

    5.6

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.