Overlord of the Balemurk
Mythic · Enchantment Creature — Avatar Horror
8.8BombRank 6 of 271
62.1%Rank 11 of 269 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.9%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
One of the 10 best cards of the set (8.8/10).
Why. A 5/5 for five mana, or just two with Impending. Each time it enters or attacks, you mill four cards and may return a non-Avatar creature or a planeswalker card from your graveyard to your hand: steady value.
Risks. Nothing guarantees a good target among the milled cards, and you empty your library faster. While Impending, it is not a creature for five turns.
In the draft. A high pick in black. It pays off most in a deck with valuable creatures to get back.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +10.5 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Mythic: rank 5 of 20
- Black: rank 1 of 42
- Cost 5: rank 2 of 27
- Average pick: 1.5 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
splash
splash
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy56.1 % · 23,125 games
- 2 copies59.9 % · 424 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks62.7 % · 5,659 games
- Next two weeks60.9 % · 3,350 games
- After that60.3 % · 1,148 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Doomsday Excruciator391 games · 54.7 % (instead of 48.7% expected)
- Cackling Slasher1,048 games · 53.7 % (instead of 49.2% expected)
- Popular Egotist3,538 games · 59.3 % (instead of 55.0% expected)
- Give In to Violence1,554 games · 55.2 % (instead of 51.4% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Sheltered by Ghosts1,287 games · 51.7 % (instead of 58.4% expected)
- Underwater Tunnel // Slimy Aquarium2,243 games · 51.2 % (instead of 55.6% expected)
- Fear of Immobility1,305 games · 52.1 % (instead of 56.4% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
96. Live or Die
6.2
159. Defiled Crypt // Cadaver Lab
5.2
253. Fear of the Dark
2.0
254. Grievous Wound
2.0
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.