Doomsday Excruciator

Rare · Creature — Demon

Pick rating

2.5WeakRank 248 of 271

Observed strength

44.2%Rank 267 of 269 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.9%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Filler card but sometimes gets cut (2.5/10).

Why. A 6/6 flyer for six black mana with an extra draw each upkeep. In practice it is a combo-style card: each player is left with only six cards in the library.

Risks. Six black mana is nearly impossible outside a near mono-black deck. After it enters, the game ends within a few turns, and you draw two cards a turn, so you can lose before the opponent does.

In the draft. Not a normal draft card. Play it only in a near mono-black deck that can win in a few attacks.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game44.2 %(set average : 55.9 %)
Card in the opening hand40.8 %(set average : 55.0 %)
Card drawn during the game46.2 %(set average : 56.6 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -4.8 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)21.0 %(set average : 62.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Rare: rank 48 of 60
  • Black: rank 37 of 42
  • Cost 6: rank 12 of 15
  • Average pick: 7.6 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

3,622 games48.9 %(all pairs : 47.1 %)
1,138 games47.5 %(all pairs : 47.1 %)
454 games44.3 %(all pairs : 47.1 %)
424 games47.9 %(all pairs : 47.1 %)
414 games44.7 %(all pairs : 47.1 %)
328 games45.1 %(all pairs : 47.1 %)
148 games31.8 %(all pairs : 47.1 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand44.7 %· 665 games
All players, card in hand43.7 %· 2,768 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)47.4 %(set average : 56.8 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)46.8 %(set average : 52.1 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy47.4 % · 6,297 games
  • 2 copies43.5 % · 430 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks43.7 % · 1,678 games
  • Next two weeks44.1 % · 809 games
  • After that42.3 % · 281 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Miasma Demon

    216. Miasma Demon

    4.4
  • Spectral Snatcher

    243. Spectral Snatcher

    3.8

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.