Formidable Speaker

Rare · Creature — Elf Druid

Pick rating

6.6GoodRank 62 of 264

Observed strength

57.6%Rank 74 of 264 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A very good rare of the format (6.6/10).

Why. A three-mana 2/4 that, by discarding a card when it enters, searches for the creature of your choice. For one mana it then untaps another permanent: a creature to block with, or a permanent with a tap ability.

Risks. It costs a card to tutor, so it improves your hand without giving card advantage. The untap ability only matters with good permanents to untap.

In the draft. A fair pick for green, especially black-green. It finds your best creature.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game57.6 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card in the opening hand57.6 %(set average : 54.5 %)
Card drawn during the game57.6 %(set average : 56.5 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +4.1 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)89.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Rare: rank 33 of 61
  • Green: rank 7 of 40
  • Cost 3: rank 14 of 66
  • Average pick: 2.1 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

11,060 games57.9 %(all pairs : 56.1 %)
5,083 games56.7 %(all pairs : 56.1 %)
1,177 games52.8 %(all pairs : 56.1 %)
1,174 games53.4 %(all pairs : 56.1 %)
817 games54.6 %(all pairs : 56.1 %)
607 games50.2 %(all pairs : 56.1 %)
602 games54.3 %(all pairs : 56.1 %)
407 games47.2 %(all pairs : 56.1 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand57.9 %· 2,281 games
All players, card in hand57.8 %· 9,622 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)58.3 %(set average : 57.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)53.9 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy56.1 % · 21,875 games
  • 2 copies56.1 % · 658 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks58.5 % · 6,810 games
  • Next two weeks56.0 % · 2,004 games
  • After that56.9 % · 808 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Brigid's Command

    13. Brigid's Command

    8.3
  • Trystan, Callous Cultivator // Trystan, Penitent Culler

    25. Trystan, Callous Cultivator // Trystan, Penitent Culler

    7.6
  • Eclipsed Elf

    29. Eclipsed Elf

    7.4
  • Morcant's Loyalist

    46. Morcant's Loyalist

    7.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.