Lys Alana Dignitary

Uncommon · Creature — Elf Advisor

Pick rating

6.2GoodRank 87 of 264

Observed strength

57.6%Rank 73 of 264 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Good playable that always makes the cut (6.2/10).

Why. A 2/3 for two mana if you behold an Elf, otherwise four. Once an Elf card is in your graveyard it taps for two green mana: ramp that pays for big spells.

Risks. Without an Elf to behold it costs four mana. Until an Elf card is in your graveyard it does not ramp, and it dies to removal.

In the draft. Take it in green-black with many Elves. It is a good card in that deck and a plain 2/3 outside it.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game57.6 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card in the opening hand58.9 %(set average : 54.5 %)
Card drawn during the game56.6 %(set average : 56.5 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +1.9 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)82.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 28 of 100
  • Green: rank 10 of 40
  • Cost 2: rank 25 of 72
  • Average pick: 4.9 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

40,499 games57.8 %(all pairs : 56.9 %)
1,707 games53.0 %(all pairs : 56.9 %)
1,551 games50.5 %(all pairs : 56.9 %)
1,278 games52.7 %(all pairs : 56.9 %)
647 games50.1 %(all pairs : 56.9 %)
522 games53.6 %(all pairs : 56.9 %)
490 games50.2 %(all pairs : 56.9 %)
426 games54.2 %(all pairs : 56.9 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand56.5 %· 5,568 games
All players, card in hand58.1 %· 21,954 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)58.7 %(set average : 57.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)55.1 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy56.6 % · 38,195 games
  • 2 copies57.8 % · 8,263 games
  • 3 copies61.4 % · 1,099 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks58.2 % · 14,911 games
  • Next two weeks58.0 % · 5,072 games
  • After that57.8 % · 1,971 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

  • Emptiness1,121 games · 59.8 % (instead of 56.0% expected)
  • Dream Harvest858 games · 55.2 % (instead of 52.3% expected)
  • Deceit1,004 games · 58.8 % (instead of 56.7% expected)
  • Moonshadow2,122 games · 58.2 % (instead of 56.6% expected)

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

B/G · 41 %

Played in 8.5% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Bristlebane Battler

    21. Bristlebane Battler

    7.7
  • Eclipsed Kithkin

    44. Eclipsed Kithkin

    7.0
  • Morcant's Eyes

    45. Morcant's Eyes

    7.0
  • Lluwen, Imperfect Naturalist

    50. Lluwen, Imperfect Naturalist

    6.9

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.