Reaping Willow

Uncommon · Creature — Treefolk Cleric

Pick rating

6.2GoodRank 91 of 264

Observed strength

56.9%Rank 86 of 264 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Good playable that always makes the cut (6.2/10).

Why. A four-mana 3/6 with lifelink that enters with two -1/-1 counters, so as a 1/4. For two mana you remove both counters and return a creature card with mana value 3 or less from your graveyard to the battlefield: a blocker that becomes a 3/6 and generates value.

Risks. It starts as a 1/4 and its activation is sorcery speed: it takes time and mana. It does nothing useful without a good target in your graveyard.

In the draft. A good blocker in a slow deck, white or black. Its hybrid costs fit decks in either colour.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game56.9 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card in the opening hand53.2 %(set average : 54.5 %)
Card drawn during the game59.3 %(set average : 56.5 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +5.0 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)81.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 32 of 100
  • Multicolour: rank 28 of 49
  • Cost 4: rank 14 of 47
  • Average pick: 3.9 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

9,138 games56.1 %(all pairs : 54.4 %)

splash

8,384 games54.8 %(all pairs : 54.4 %)

splash

6,838 games56.0 %(all pairs : 54.4 %)

splash

6,513 games55.2 %(all pairs : 54.4 %)

splash

3,318 games51.4 %(all pairs : 54.4 %)
3,129 games52.4 %(all pairs : 54.4 %)
1,358 games53.2 %(all pairs : 54.4 %)

splash

1,274 games53.0 %(all pairs : 54.4 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand56.0 %· 5,455 games
All players, card in hand56.7 %· 19,704 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)56.0 %(set average : 57.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)52.7 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy54.3 % · 39,333 games
  • 2 copies54.4 % · 4,262 games
  • 3 copies56.5 % · 400 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks56.4 % · 13,015 games
  • Next two weeks57.2 % · 4,859 games
  • After that57.8 % · 1,830 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

B/W · 45 %

Played in 8.1% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Champion of the Weird

    22. Champion of the Weird

    7.6
  • High Perfect Morcant

    31. High Perfect Morcant

    7.4
  • Bre of Clan Stoutarm

    60. Bre of Clan Stoutarm

    6.6
  • Champion of the Clachan

    71. Champion of the Clachan

    6.5

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.