Curator of Destinies

Rare · Creature — Sphinx

Pick rating

9.0BombRank 4 of 271

Observed strength

62.2%Rank 5 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

One of the 10 best cards of the set (9.0/10).

Why. A six-mana 5/5 flyer that can't be countered and refills your hand when it enters. You look at the top five cards of your library, split them into a face-down pile and a face-up pile, and the opponent chooses which goes to your hand. The other goes to your graveyard.

Risks. Six mana, including two blue. If it gets removed you still got cards, but you lost tempo. The opponent can hand you the pile that helps you least.

In the draft. Take it high in a blue deck that can afford to be a bit slow. Split your piles so that either choice is good for you.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game62.2 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card in the opening hand59.0 %(set average : 54.8 %)
Card drawn during the game64.1 %(set average : 56.4 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +9.3 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)90.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Rare: rank 4 of 60
  • Blue: rank 1 of 44
  • Cost 6: rank 1 of 18
  • Average pick: 2.0 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

15,238 games58.3 %(all pairs : 57.2 %)
13,421 games58.4 %(all pairs : 57.2 %)
7,701 games56.4 %(all pairs : 57.2 %)
5,787 games55.5 %(all pairs : 57.2 %)
1,371 games54.6 %(all pairs : 57.2 %)
679 games52.3 %(all pairs : 57.2 %)
667 games54.3 %(all pairs : 57.2 %)
337 games54.0 %(all pairs : 57.2 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand62.7 %· 5,304 games
All players, card in hand62.1 %· 21,884 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)58.2 %(set average : 55.6 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)56.2 %(set average : 53.5 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy57.0 % · 44,592 games
  • 2 copies59.7 % · 2,247 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks62.0 % · 13,772 games
  • Next two weeks62.2 % · 7,061 games
  • After that62.7 % · 1,051 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Self-Reflection

    139. Self-Reflection

    5.6
  • Extravagant Replication

    164. Extravagant Replication

    5.2
  • Muldrotha, the Gravetide

    181. Muldrotha, the Gravetide

    5.0
  • Niv-Mizzet, Visionary

    236. Niv-Mizzet, Visionary

    4.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.