Dreadwing Scavenger

Uncommon · Creature — Nightmare Bird

Pick rating

7.6Very goodRank 24 of 271

Observed strength

61.4%Rank 14 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

One of the very best uncommons of the format (7.6/10).

Why. A three-mana 2/2 flyer that filters your cards. When it enters or attacks, you draw a card, then discard a card. With Threshold it gets +1/+1 and deathtouch. It is a good air attacker that also improves your hand.

Risks. It costs one blue and one black mana, so it is limited to a blue-black deck. It is a fragile 2/2 until Threshold.

In the draft. A very good pick for a blue-black deck. The filtering also fills your graveyard for Threshold.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game61.4 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card in the opening hand59.9 %(set average : 54.8 %)
Card drawn during the game62.3 %(set average : 56.4 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +9.1 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)79.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 4 of 101
  • Multicolour: rank 2 of 24
  • Cost 3: rank 10 of 69
  • Average pick: 4.6 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

54,901 games56.7 %(all pairs : 55.7 %)
4,218 games54.8 %(all pairs : 55.7 %)

splash

3,403 games55.1 %(all pairs : 55.7 %)

splash

2,573 games52.6 %(all pairs : 55.7 %)
2,340 games48.9 %(all pairs : 55.7 %)
1,612 games51.8 %(all pairs : 55.7 %)

splash

1,555 games52.5 %(all pairs : 55.7 %)

splash

1,338 games53.3 %(all pairs : 55.7 %)

splash

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand60.4 %· 11,187 games
All players, card in hand60.4 %· 40,751 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)56.3 %(set average : 55.6 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)55.1 %(set average : 53.5 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy54.7 % · 54,923 games
  • 2 copies57.7 % · 16,932 games
  • 3 copies60.6 % · 3,446 games
  • 4 copies or more65.3 % · 606 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks60.9 % · 24,835 games
  • Next two weeks59.8 % · 13,653 games
  • After that59.3 % · 2,263 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

  • Exsanguinate463 games · 44.7 % (instead of 50.1% expected)
  • Leyline Axe3,285 games · 55.1 % (instead of 58.2% expected)

Where it is played

B/U · 52 %

Played in 9.4% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Kiora, the Rising Tide

    15. Kiora, the Rising Tide

    8.2
  • Faebloom Trick

    18. Faebloom Trick

    7.9
  • Empyrean Eagle

    21. Empyrean Eagle

    7.7
  • Alesha, Who Laughs at Fate

    29. Alesha, Who Laughs at Fate

    7.4

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.