Kellan, Planar Trailblazer
Rare · Legendary Creature — Human Faerie Scout
8.6BombRank 9 of 271
59.2%Rank 28 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
One of the 10 best cards of the set (8.6/10).
Why. A one-drop that gets better the more mana you pour into it. First a 2/1 for a red mana, then a Detective that exiles a card whenever it deals combat damage to a player (you may play it this turn), then a 3/2 with double strike. It has a use at every stage of the game.
Risks. It is fragile, and both upgrades cost mana that does not develop your board. A block or a removal spell kills it before it does anything.
In the draft. A very good pick for an aggressive red deck. Much weaker in a slow deck that can't attack with it.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +4.1 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Rare: rank 7 of 60
- Red: rank 2 of 43
- Cost 1: rank 1 of 28
- Average pick: 2.4 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy56.4 % · 36,094 games
- 2 copies57.5 % · 1,958 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks58.9 % · 9,970 games
- Next two weeks58.9 % · 5,106 games
- After that61.5 % · 742 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Swiftfoot Boots641 games · 55.1 % (instead of 50.2% expected)
- Garruk's Uprising2,002 games · 59.6 % (instead of 55.4% expected)
- Spitfire Lagac1,411 games · 55.6 % (instead of 52.0% expected)
- Affectionate Indrik2,331 games · 59.3 % (instead of 56.2% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Make Your Move2,577 games · 53.6 % (instead of 56.5% expected)
- Mischievous Mystic2,345 games · 55.5 % (instead of 58.0% expected)
- Strix Lookout3,292 games · 53.7 % (instead of 56.0% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
43. Burst Lightning
7.0
176. Fanatical Firebrand
5.0
177. Frenzied Goblin
5.0
190. Boltwave
4.8
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.