Mild-Mannered Librarian

Uncommon · Creature — Human

Pick rating

6.6GoodRank 66 of 271

Observed strength

56.9%Rank 75 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid uncommon of the format (6.6/10).

Why. A one-mana green 1/1 that for four mana becomes a Werewolf, gets two +1/+1 counters and draws you a card. It is a cheap creature early and a value card later.

Risks. Its transformation costs four mana and only works once. Before that it is a 1/1 with no impact.

In the draft. A good flexible green pick that fits every game pace. Take it after your removal.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game56.9 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card in the opening hand57.1 %(set average : 54.8 %)
Card drawn during the game56.8 %(set average : 56.4 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +2.6 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)80.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 22 of 101
  • Green: rank 8 of 43
  • Cost 1: rank 6 of 28
  • Average pick: 5.6 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

15,515 games55.2 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
14,568 games57.1 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
11,676 games53.2 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
11,605 games54.4 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
4,729 games58.4 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
969 games47.7 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
386 games46.4 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
333 games47.7 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand55.8 %· 5,976 games
All players, card in hand56.8 %· 27,049 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)56.9 %(set average : 55.6 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)53.2 %(set average : 53.5 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy54.9 % · 51,481 games
  • 2 copies55.9 % · 8,415 games
  • 3 copies58.8 % · 925 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks56.1 % · 16,742 games
  • Next two weeks57.8 % · 8,866 games
  • After that58.2 % · 1,441 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

  • Dragon Trainer4,512 games · 59.2 % (instead of 56.1% expected)
  • Slagstorm1,078 games · 57.3 % (instead of 54.4% expected)

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

G/U · 33 %G/W · 32 %

Played in 7.7% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Snakeskin Veil

    108. Snakeskin Veil

    6.0
  • Llanowar Elves

    122. Llanowar Elves

    5.8
  • Bushwhack

    129. Bushwhack

    5.6
  • Giant Growth

    133. Giant Growth

    5.6

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.