Ahriman

Common · Creature — Eye Horror

Pick rating

5.2PlayableRank 186 of 294

Observed strength

54.6%Rank 200 of 341 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.4%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid playable that rarely gets cut (5.2/10).

Why. A three-mana 2/2 with flying and deathtouch: it attacks in the air and trades with any creature that blocks it or that it blocks. For three mana, you can also sacrifice another creature or an artifact to draw a card.

Risks. A 2/2 dies to a lot of spells. The draw ability needs artifacts or creatures to sacrifice.

In the draft. A good black common at this price. It belongs in almost every black deck.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game54.6 %(set average : 56.4 %)
Card in the opening hand52.6 %(set average : 55.2 %)
Card drawn during the game56.0 %(set average : 57.2 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +0.7 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)69.0 %(set average : 62.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 51 of 90
  • Black: rank 33 of 42
  • Cost 3: rank 35 of 67
  • Average pick: 7.7 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

29,156 games56.0 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)
25,002 games56.6 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)
21,831 games54.2 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)
18,983 games54.6 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)
4,223 games52.6 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)
3,616 games55.6 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)
2,523 games49.5 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)
889 games51.9 %(all pairs : 55.0 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand53.6 %· 10,506 games
All players, card in hand55.4 %· 51,789 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)57.1 %(set average : 58.6 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)52.9 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy55.0 % · 88,403 games
  • 2 copies55.0 % · 18,900 games
  • 3 copies54.0 % · 1,808 games
  • 4 copies or more48.3 % · 174 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks55.8 % · 28,362 games
  • Next two weeks54.6 % · 17,564 games
  • After that55.8 % · 5,863 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

B/R · 56 %B/W · 53 %

Played in 14% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Sephiroth, Fabled SOLDIER // Sephiroth, One-Winged Angel

    3. Sephiroth, Fabled SOLDIER // Sephiroth, One-Winged Angel

    9.1
  • Emet-Selch, Unsundered // Hades, Sorcerer of Eld

    25. Emet-Selch, Unsundered // Hades, Sorcerer of Eld

    7.6
  • Overkill

    54. Overkill

    7.0
  • Exdeath, Void Warlock // Neo Exdeath, Dimension's End

    83. Exdeath, Void Warlock // Neo Exdeath, Dimension's End

    6.4

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.