Qiqirn Merchant

Common · Creature — Beast Citizen

Pick rating

4.6WeakRank 223 of 294

Observed strength

52.8%Rank 257 of 341 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.4%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid playable that rarely gets cut (4.6/10).

Why. A 1/4 that blocks well and filters your hand: for one mana, draw then discard. Late in the game, sacrifice it to draw three cards.

Risks. It does not attack, and the filtering costs mana every turn. The seven-mana sacrifice is very slow without Towns.

In the draft. Useful defensive filler for a blue control deck. A mid to late pick.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game52.8 %(set average : 56.4 %)
Card in the opening hand50.1 %(set average : 55.2 %)
Card drawn during the game54.6 %(set average : 57.2 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +0.8 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)35.0 %(set average : 62.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 67 of 90
  • Blue: rank 31 of 41
  • Cost 3: rank 50 of 67
  • Average pick: 10.4 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

14,910 games55.3 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
13,766 games52.7 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
12,582 games53.1 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
9,455 games53.9 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
4,372 games50.5 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
3,121 games51.1 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
2,560 games51.8 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
2,076 games51.8 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand51.8 %· 8,265 games
All players, card in hand53.2 %· 32,642 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)55.9 %(set average : 58.6 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)50.2 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy53.3 % · 56,942 games
  • 2 copies51.8 % · 9,388 games
  • 3 copies51.1 % · 834 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks53.2 % · 17,744 games
  • Next two weeks53.5 % · 11,071 games
  • After that52.5 % · 3,827 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

  • Elixir463 games · 52.3 % (instead of 45.2% expected)
  • Ancient Adamantoise1,518 games · 57.4 % (instead of 53.3% expected)
  • Zell Dincht786 games · 55.2 % (instead of 51.3% expected)
  • Ultima1,391 games · 55.2 % (instead of 51.5% expected)

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

G/U · 58 %

Played in 9.2% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Jill, Shiva's Dominant // Shiva, Warden of Ice

    11. Jill, Shiva's Dominant // Shiva, Warden of Ice

    8.5
  • Vivi Ornitier

    15. Vivi Ornitier

    8.2
  • Emet-Selch, Unsundered // Hades, Sorcerer of Eld

    25. Emet-Selch, Unsundered // Hades, Sorcerer of Eld

    7.6
  • Shantotto, Tactician Magician

    26. Shantotto, Tactician Magician

    7.6

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.