Azog, Moria's Ruin
Rare · Legendary Creature — Goblin Soldier
6.4GoodRank 52 of 188
52.6%Rank 136 of 179 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.5%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
It wins less than its rating suggests.
Why this gap?
The pick rating is a prior: it is for choosing a card before there are results. The observed strength comes from real games, and the win rate of a card is stable from one week to the next. The gap often comes from a card that is easy to replace at the pick but very efficient once played, from a good archetype that carries it, or from a flaw of our rating: in a set that already has many games, the results are more reliable than the rating.
Good playable that always makes the cut (6.4/10).
Why. A 1/3 for three mana whose enter effect destroys another creature of your choice. It's removal attached to a body. If you controlled the target, you draw a card: a way to get value out of one of your own creatures that was going to die.
Risks. The destroyed creature's controller gets an Army with as many counters as its power: killing a big monster leaves them a big Army. So it's excellent against small creatures and much worse against big ones.
In the draft. A good conditional removal, to take fairly high in black. Aim at low-power creatures or threats with dangerous text, and avoid relying on it as your only answer to the biggest attacker.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -1.2 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Rare: rank 23 of 53
- Black: rank 10 of 27
- Cost 3: rank 12 of 46
- Average pick: 3.1 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy54.2 % · 11,565 games
- 2 copies54.8 % · 456 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks53.9 % · 3,801 games
- Next two weeks53.8 % · 712 games
- After that52.9 % · 427 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Bombur, Gentle Dreamer700 games · 57.9 % (instead of 53.8% expected)
- Giant's Boulder935 games · 51.8 % (instead of 49.3% expected)
- My Precious // Allure of Power795 games · 52.2 % (instead of 49.8% expected)
- Stone-Giant of High Pass742 games · 57.7 % (instead of 55.3% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Rhovanion Rampager1,352 games · 53.8 % (instead of 56.5% expected)
- Gandalf, Goblins' Bane // Flameshape415 games · 51.8 % (instead of 54.0% expected)
- Long-Bodied Grey Dog610 games · 49.8 % (instead of 51.9% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
24. Rhovanion Rampager
7.3
27. Down, Down to Goblin-town
7.2
32. Chief Warg's Company
7.0
36. The Master of Lake-town
6.9
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.