Beorn, Reluctant Host // Till and Tend

Common · Legendary Creature — Human Bear Shapeshifter // Sorcery — Adventure

Pick rating

1.4WeakRank 187 of 188

Observed strength

50.3%Rank 167 of 179 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.5%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Almost unplayable and mostly sideboard material (1.4/10).

Why. Two options in one card. The Adventure side, for two mana, lets you play an additional land this turn, then Beorn arrives later from exile: a 5/5 with trample for five mana, a beefy body for the price. You play the spell early, then the big body afterwards.

Risks. A 5/5 for five mana with no enter effect is still vanilla. The Adventure spell is modest: without another way to use the extra lands, it brings little. A targeted answer from the opponent removes it easily.

In the draft. A green filler common, to take late; it only finds a place in a green deck that lacks big bodies.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game50.3 %(set average : 56.5 %)
Card in the opening hand48.9 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card drawn during the game51.3 %(set average : 57.0 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -1.7 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)21.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 64 of 65
  • Green: rank 28 of 28
  • Cost 5: rank 20 of 21
  • Average pick: 10.2 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

13,029 games54.2 %(all pairs : 52.3 %)
5,969 games49.2 %(all pairs : 52.3 %)
903 games52.3 %(all pairs : 52.3 %)
814 games53.6 %(all pairs : 52.3 %)
460 games46.1 %(all pairs : 52.3 %)
345 games41.4 %(all pairs : 52.3 %)
327 games51.4 %(all pairs : 52.3 %)
179 games50.8 %(all pairs : 52.3 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand48.6 %· 1,279 games
All players, card in hand50.8 %· 9,780 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)57.4 %(set average : 60.8 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)47.1 %(set average : 51.5 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy52.7 % · 19,263 games
  • 2 copies49.9 % · 2,792 games
  • 3 copies49.8 % · 209 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks50.5 % · 7,755 games
  • Next two weeks51.6 % · 1,185 games
  • After that52.7 % · 840 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

B/G · 42 %G/W · 40 %

Played in 7.3% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Beorn the Fierce

    4. Beorn the Fierce

    8.9
  • Dancing from Dark to Dawn

    11. Dancing from Dark to Dawn

    8.1
  • Tom, Bert, and William

    34. Tom, Bert, and William

    7.0
  • Large Bear

    77. Large Bear

    5.9

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.