Bolg of the North

Uncommon · Legendary Creature — Goblin Soldier

Pick rating

4.6WeakRank 141 of 188

Observed strength

54.5%Rank 103 of 179 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.5%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid playable that rarely gets cut (4.6/10).

Why. A five-mana 5/5 is already a good body. When it enters, you may sacrifice another creature: Bolg then deals damage equal to the sacrificed creature's power to another creature. If excess damage was dealt, you amass Goblins for that excess (counters on an Army, created if needed).

Risks. You need a creature to sacrifice, which costs you a card. Without a sacrifice, it is a plain 5/5: fine, but without an effect. Legendary, black and red.

In the draft. A good body for a black-red deck, with or without the sacrifice. Take it as a reliable five-drop that becomes removal if you have a creature to sacrifice.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game54.5 %(set average : 56.5 %)
Card in the opening hand52.8 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card drawn during the game55.6 %(set average : 57.0 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -1.1 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)68.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 43 of 55
  • Multicolour: rank 24 of 26
  • Cost 5: rank 13 of 21
  • Average pick: 5.3 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

28,677 games56.5 %(all pairs : 56.1 %)
809 games54.0 %(all pairs : 56.1 %)

splash

630 games48.7 %(all pairs : 56.1 %)
537 games50.8 %(all pairs : 56.1 %)

splash

479 games47.0 %(all pairs : 56.1 %)
246 games58.1 %(all pairs : 56.1 %)

splash

125 games45.6 %(all pairs : 56.1 %)

splash

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand53.4 %· 2,151 games
All players, card in hand55.0 %· 13,685 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)59.9 %(set average : 60.8 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)52.2 %(set average : 51.5 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy56.4 % · 26,993 games
  • 2 copies54.2 % · 4,669 games
  • 3 copies51.3 % · 226 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks54.8 % · 10,574 games
  • Next two weeks56.1 % · 1,949 games
  • After that55.1 % · 1,162 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

B/R · 51 %

Played in 9.8% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Tom, Bert, and William

    34. Tom, Bert, and William

    7.0
  • Misty Mountains Raider

    48. Misty Mountains Raider

    6.6
  • Smaug, Wicked Worm

    50. Smaug, Wicked Worm

    6.6
  • Large Bear

    77. Large Bear

    5.9

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.