The Chief Warg

Uncommon · Legendary Creature — Wolf

Pick rating

5.0PlayableRank 128 of 188

Observed strength

52.5%Rank 137 of 179 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.5%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid playable that rarely gets cut (5.0/10).

Why. A 3/3 with menace for four mana already attacks well. If you also control a creature with power 4 or greater, each attack gives you a card at the cost of 1 life. It's a good engine in a deck with big bodies.

Risks. It needs another creature with power 4 or greater: without one, it's just a 3/3 with menace. The life loss adds up with each attack. Legendary and in two colors, it's not very flexible.

In the draft. Play it in a black-green deck with big bodies. Take it as a complement, not as the pivot of your deck: it has conditions.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game52.5 %(set average : 56.5 %)
Card in the opening hand51.6 %(set average : 55.7 %)
Card drawn during the game53.3 %(set average : 57.0 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -3.0 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)71.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 39 of 55
  • Multicolour: rank 21 of 26
  • Cost 4: rank 22 of 31
  • Average pick: 5.0 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

24,204 games56.1 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
1,152 games50.6 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)

splash

741 games49.3 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
572 games48.3 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)

splash

522 games42.3 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)
239 games57.7 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)

splash

192 games54.7 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)

splash

149 games48.3 %(all pairs : 55.1 %)

splash

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand51.3 %· 1,945 games
All players, card in hand53.4 %· 12,154 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)60.4 %(set average : 60.8 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)49.9 %(set average : 51.5 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy55.4 % · 22,383 games
  • 2 copies54.0 % · 5,153 games
  • 3 copies55.7 % · 449 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks53.0 % · 9,065 games
  • Next two weeks53.7 % · 1,999 games
  • After that55.3 % · 1,090 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

B/G · 49 %

Played in 8.7% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Head of the Hunt

    19. Head of the Hunt

    7.5
  • Thranduil's Company

    40. Thranduil's Company

    6.8
  • Gollum, Silent Slinker // Meager Meal

    63. Gollum, Silent Slinker // Meager Meal

    6.2
  • Radagast of Rhosgobel

    72. Radagast of Rhosgobel

    6.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.