The Lonely Mountain
Rare · Land — Mountain
7.4Very goodRank 23 of 188
58.4%Rank 43 of 179 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.5%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A very good rare of the format (7.4/10).
Why. A Mountain that taps for red mana and becomes a late-game token engine: five mana (four plus one red) plus tapping it creates a 2/2 Dwarf, costing one less for each Equipment you control. It can only be activated at sorcery speed.
Risks. It enters tapped unless you control an Equipment, which slows your curve in a deck without Equipment. The activation is expensive and slow.
In the draft. Play it in a red deck with Equipment: a free land that becomes a token engine. Otherwise it is a Mountain that enters tapped, to take late.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +2.0 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Rare: rank 10 of 53
- Colourless: rank 2 of 22
- Cost 0: rank 1 of 8
- Average pick: 3.4 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy57.5 % · 17,408 games
- 2 copies57.4 % · 925 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks58.2 % · 5,304 games
- Next two weeks58.6 % · 1,485 games
- After that58.9 % · 913 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Key to the Side-Door345 games · 57.7 % (instead of 52.7% expected)
- Great Fierce Bee1,263 games · 57.6 % (instead of 55.5% expected)
- Large Bear1,164 games · 59.6 % (instead of 57.7% expected)
- Nighthowl Pursuer2,113 games · 61.0 % (instead of 59.2% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- My Precious // Allure of Power741 games · 50.5 % (instead of 53.0% expected)
- Giant's Boulder1,096 games · 50.0 % (instead of 52.6% expected)
- Duskwatch Hunter1,994 games · 55.4 % (instead of 57.8% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
44. Elven Passage
6.6
108. Goblin-town
5.4
112. Hobbit Hole
5.2
113. Iron Hills
5.2
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.