Wood Elves
Common · Creature — Elf Scout
2.0WeakRank 184 of 188
53.6%Rank 118 of 179 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.5%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
It wins more than its rating suggests.
Why this gap?
The pick rating is a prior: it is for choosing a card before there are results. The observed strength comes from real games, and the win rate of a card is stable from one week to the next. The gap often comes from a card that is easy to replace at the pick but very efficient once played, from a good archetype that carries it, or from a flaw of our rating: in a set that already has many games, the results are more reliable than the rating.
Not good filler and often gets cut (2.0/10).
Why. A 1/1 for three mana that searches for a Forest and puts it onto the battlefield untapped: the mana is made up right away and you get ahead by a land, with a small body as a bonus. It's ramp for a green deck that wants to reach its big cards.
Risks. The body is tiny, and the three-mana cost hurts if you have nothing to cast with the extra mana. You need enough Forests in the deck, and it gets weak late in the game.
In the draft. A support player for a green deck with big cards at the top of its curve. Take it mid-pack if your deck has enough five- and six-drops; otherwise let it go.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +1.9 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 62 of 65
- Green: rank 27 of 28
- Cost 3: rank 45 of 46
- Average pick: 8.7 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy53.0 % · 19,971 games
- 2 copies53.2 % · 10,151 games
- 3 copies53.1 % · 2,360 games
- 4 copies or more54.9 % · 439 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks53.6 % · 12,824 games
- Next two weeks54.3 % · 2,448 games
- After that56.6 % · 1,792 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Lake-town Mariners // Gone Fishing2,249 games · 52.6 % (instead of 48.1% expected)
- Elrond, Moon-Reader1,094 games · 51.5 % (instead of 47.4% expected)
- Elven Raft-Steerer3,430 games · 50.3 % (instead of 46.2% expected)
- Mirkwood Meditator1,457 games · 49.3 % (instead of 45.2% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Most Decrepit Old Bird // Speak Secrets577 games · 48.4 % (instead of 50.5% expected)
- Rhovanion Rampager1,692 games · 53.3 % (instead of 55.4% expected)
- The Master of Lake-town1,037 games · 51.2 % (instead of 53.1% expected)
Where it is played
G/U · 74 %B/G · 69 %
Played in 11% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
32. Chief Warg's Company
7.0
38. Mirkwood Pathmaker
6.8
61. Down in the Valley
6.2
116. Mirkwood Nurturer
5.2
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.