Reef Worm
Uncommon · Creature — Worm
4.6WeakRank 223 of 302
53.0%Rank 218 of 298 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A solid playable that rarely gets cut (4.6/10).
Why. A 0/1 for four that, when it dies, creates a 3/3 Fish creature token, then a 6/6 Whale, then a 9/9 Kraken. If the opponent kills it or you sacrifice it, value climbs in steps.
Risks. The 0/1 on its own is useless until it dies. An opponent who ignores it leaves you with a dead card and four mana wasted.
In the draft. A card for a blue-black deck. Mid-pack, playable but no more.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +3.5 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Uncommon: rank 83 of 120
- Blue: rank 21 of 30
- Cost 4: rank 28 of 39
- Average pick: 8.1 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy51.4 % · 26,418 games
- 2 copies49.1 % · 2,814 games
- 3 copies50.3 % · 199 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks52.2 % · 8,074 games
- Next two weeks53.8 % · 4,200 games
- After that55.4 % · 1,647 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Phyrexian Tower398 games · 53.3 % (instead of 45.9% expected)
- Sorin of House Markov // Sorin, Ravenous Neonate802 games · 57.4 % (instead of 50.0% expected)
- Birthing Ritual174 games · 54.0 % (instead of 47.2% expected)
- Toxic Deluge1,828 games · 57.6 % (instead of 51.0% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Skoa, Embermage1,501 games · 47.6 % (instead of 51.6% expected)
- Fanged Flames2,895 games · 48.0 % (instead of 51.9% expected)
- Smelted Chargebug1,597 games · 48.5 % (instead of 52.3% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
48. Genku, Future Shaper
7.0
94. Breya, Etherium Shaper
6.2
129. Deem Inferior
5.8
145. Deep Analysis
5.6
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.