Bone-Cairn Butcher
Uncommon · Creature — Demon
4.2WeakRank 224 of 271
52.1%Rank 237 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A good playable, but is sometimes cut (4.2/10).
Why. A four-mana 4/4 with Mobilize 2: each attack adds two tapped and attacking 1/1 red Warrior creature tokens, and attacking tokens you control have deathtouch. The opponent rarely blocks without losing something.
Risks. Three demanding colours for a card that has to attack to be useful. An opponent who kills it before the attack cancels its whole point.
In the draft. A good pick for an aggressive white-black-red deck. Outside that trio it is too hard to cast to deserve a high pick.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -2.4 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Uncommon: rank 83 of 100
- Multicolour: rank 59 of 66
- Cost 4: rank 31 of 44
- Average pick: 5.7 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
splash
splash
splash
splash
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy54.1 % · 23,331 games
- 2 copies52.8 % · 3,823 games
- 3 copies51.1 % · 333 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks52.4 % · 7,608 games
- Next two weeks51.6 % · 2,823 games
- After that55.0 % · 1,083 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Sinkhole Surveyor2,329 games · 57.9 % (instead of 55.1% expected)
- Strategic Betrayal1,671 games · 54.8 % (instead of 52.2% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Wail of War1,482 games · 49.9 % (instead of 52.3% expected)
- Aggressive Negotiations1,555 games · 50.7 % (instead of 52.9% expected)
Where it is played
B/W · 38 %R/W · 28 %
Played in 5.0% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
19. Revival of the Ancestors
7.9
25. Neriv, Heart of the Storm
7.6
27. Scavenger Regent // Exude Toxin
7.5
30. Eshki Dragonclaw
7.4
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.