Dragon's Prey
Common · Instant
5.2PlayableRank 158 of 271
55.3%Rank 137 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A solid playable that rarely gets cut (5.2/10).
Why. A three-mana instant removal that destroys any creature, with no size or colour restriction. A simple, reliable answer you can cast at any time.
Risks. It costs two more if it targets a Dragon, so against the set's biggest threats it gets expensive. It only answers a creature.
In the draft. A decent common removal spell to take in black. Take it ahead of filler, after your better removal.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +2.1 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 33 of 91
- Black: rank 10 of 34
- Cost 3: rank 34 of 60
- Average pick: 4.4 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy54.2 % · 86,639 games
- 2 copies54.1 % · 21,104 games
- 3 copies55.5 % · 3,009 games
- 4 copies or more53.9 % · 282 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks55.9 % · 33,638 games
- Next two weeks54.1 % · 14,041 games
- After that55.2 % · 5,204 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Stillness in Motion155 games · 56.1 % (instead of 46.0% expected)
- Call the Spirit Dragons657 games · 49.8 % (instead of 46.9% expected)
- Nature's Rhythm662 games · 53.6 % (instead of 50.7% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Wingspan Stride296 games · 45.9 % (instead of 48.8% expected)
- Glacierwood Siege1,191 games · 45.1 % (instead of 47.8% expected)
Where it is played
B/U · 54 %B/G · 52 %
Played in 20% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
10. Qarsi Revenant
8.5
36. Zurgo, Thunder's Decree
7.2
40. Awaken the Honored Dead
7.1
53. Avenger of the Fallen
6.8
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.