Fire Navy Trebuchet

Uncommon · Artifact Creature — Wall

Pick rating

5.0WeakRank 192 of 281

Observed strength

55.1%Rank 147 of 279 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid playable that rarely gets cut (5.0/10).

Why. A three-mana black 0/4 Wall with defender and reach that, whenever you attack, creates a 2/1 flying Construct token tapped and attacking, sacrificed at end of turn. It defends well and adds damage to every attack.

Risks. It cannot attack itself and makes nothing without another attacker on your side. A token that dies in combat gives nothing more.

In the draft. A fair value defender for black decks that attack with other creatures. Take it over average commons, after removal.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game55.1 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand53.4 %(set average : 55.4 %)
Card drawn during the game56.3 %(set average : 56.8 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +2.6 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)76.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 75 of 110
  • Black: rank 27 of 40
  • Cost 3: rank 43 of 64
  • Average pick: 5.4 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

9,531 games55.8 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
7,827 games54.3 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
5,952 games51.9 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
4,303 games55.1 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
2,143 games58.0 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
925 games51.4 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
632 games49.4 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
505 games52.7 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand54.3 %· 3,649 games
All players, card in hand55.7 %· 15,418 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)57.0 %(set average : 59.1 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)51.3 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy54.2 % · 28,205 games
  • 2 copies53.8 % · 4,439 games
  • 3 copies53.6 % · 386 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks55.6 % · 8,023 games
  • Next two weeks55.6 % · 4,340 games
  • After that55.9 % · 3,055 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

B/W · 36 %B/R · 28 %

Played in 6.0% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Raven Eagle

    15. Raven Eagle

    8.2
  • Foggy Swamp Spirit Keeper

    36. Foggy Swamp Spirit Keeper

    7.3
  • Boiling Rock Rioter

    64. Boiling Rock Rioter

    6.6
  • Ozai's Cruelty

    83. Ozai's Cruelty

    6.4

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.