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Common · Sorcery

Pick rating

2.0WeakRank 176 of 190

Observed strength

53.3%Rank 147 of 184 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 57.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Not good filler and often gets cut (2.0/10).

Why. A sorcery that deals 6 damage to a target creature for four mana and exiles it if it would die this turn. It answers almost any creature you will face in draft.

Risks. Four mana at sorcery speed: slow against aggro. It cannot touch any permanent that isn't a creature, and a creature with more than six toughness survives it.

In the draft. Reliable but pricey red removal. Take it after the best cards, but ahead of mediocre creatures: it keeps your deck sturdier.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game53.3 %(set average : 57.7 %)
Card in the opening hand50.8 %(set average : 56.4 %)
Card drawn during the game54.9 %(set average : 58.6 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -0.1 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)40.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 57 of 67
  • Red: rank 22 of 27
  • Cost 4: rank 29 of 32
  • Average pick: 9.1 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

14,892 games55.7 %(all pairs : 54.5 %)
6,752 games54.3 %(all pairs : 54.5 %)
1,075 games51.7 %(all pairs : 54.5 %)
930 games49.2 %(all pairs : 54.5 %)
416 games45.9 %(all pairs : 54.5 %)
363 games43.0 %(all pairs : 54.5 %)
250 games56.8 %(all pairs : 54.5 %)
233 games43.8 %(all pairs : 54.5 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand53.4 %· 2,162 games
All players, card in hand54.0 %· 12,480 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)57.0 %(set average : 59.4 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)52.0 %(set average : 54.2 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy55.2 % · 20,468 games
  • 2 copies52.6 % · 4,973 games
  • 3 copies46.9 % · 482 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks53.7 % · 8,606 games
  • Next two weeks54.9 % · 3,292 games
  • After that54.0 % · 582 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

R/U · 58 %B/R · 46 %

Played in 15% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Raphael, the Nightwatcher

    65. Raphael, the Nightwatcher

    6.2
  • The Neutrinos

    99. The Neutrinos

    5.6
  • Raphael, Ninja Destroyer

    129. Raphael, Ninja Destroyer

    5.0
  • Raphael, Most Attitude

    157. Raphael, Most Attitude

    4.2

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.