Turtle Lair

Uncommon · Land

Pick rating

5.8PlayableRank 78 of 190

Observed strength

57.2%Rank 91 of 184 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 57.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Good playable that always makes the cut (5.9/10).

Why. A land that taps for colorless, or for any color to cast a Ninja or Turtle spell. For three mana it also makes a Ninja or Turtle unblockable.

Risks. The colored mana is limited to Ninja or Turtle spells; for everything else it only makes colorless.

In the draft. Useful fixing in a deck full of Ninjas and Turtles, played in place of a basic land. Worse if you have few such creatures.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game57.2 %(set average : 57.7 %)
Card in the opening hand57.0 %(set average : 56.4 %)
Card drawn during the game57.3 %(set average : 58.6 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +0.7 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)68.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 36 of 55
  • Colourless: rank 6 of 19
  • Cost 0: rank 1 of 8
  • Average pick: 7.6 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

8,291 games59.8 %(all pairs : 57.1 %)
1,826 games54.2 %(all pairs : 57.1 %)
1,104 games56.4 %(all pairs : 57.1 %)
1,072 games54.1 %(all pairs : 57.1 %)
953 games51.1 %(all pairs : 57.1 %)
547 games58.0 %(all pairs : 57.1 %)
424 games52.6 %(all pairs : 57.1 %)
382 games54.7 %(all pairs : 57.1 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand57.0 %· 1,564 games
All players, card in hand58.1 %· 6,883 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)60.0 %(set average : 59.4 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)54.3 %(set average : 54.2 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy57.0 % · 14,569 games
  • 2 copies59.1 % · 1,231 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks57.7 % · 4,274 games
  • Next two weeks58.6 % · 2,186 games
  • After that59.6 % · 423 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Mutant Town

    85. Mutant Town

    5.8
  • Illegitimate Business

    92. Illegitimate Business

    5.6
  • Northampton Farm

    96. Northampton Farm

    5.6
  • TCRI Building

    98. TCRI Building

    5.6

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.