Ravine Raider

Common · Creature — Lizard Rogue

Pick rating

6.0PlayableRank 102 of 261

Observed strength

55.3%Rank 150 of 265 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Good playable that always makes the cut (6.0/10).

Why. A one-mana black creature with menace that stays relevant all game: with spare mana it becomes a hard-to-block attacker that grows on demand. It is also a Lizard, which matters in decks built around them.

Risks. On its own it is a 1/1 that does nothing unless you invest mana, and any removal kills it. It wants a deck with mana to spare.

In the draft. A good common for an aggressive black deck, especially black-red. No need to take it early, but do not let it slip by in the late picks.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game55.3 %(set average : 56.0 %)
Card in the opening hand57.4 %(set average : 55.0 %)
Card drawn during the game53.5 %(set average : 56.6 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : 0.0 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)44.0 %(set average : 62.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 3 of 81
  • Black: rank 18 of 40
  • Cost 1: rank 15 of 30
  • Average pick: 9.3 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

50,433 games56.7 %(all pairs : 54.9 %)
14,197 games53.4 %(all pairs : 54.9 %)
10,634 games51.7 %(all pairs : 54.9 %)
3,880 games50.7 %(all pairs : 54.9 %)
703 games55.2 %(all pairs : 54.9 %)
461 games45.3 %(all pairs : 54.9 %)
318 games44.0 %(all pairs : 54.9 %)
282 games45.7 %(all pairs : 54.9 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand54.7 %· 7,758 games
All players, card in hand55.4 %· 39,971 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)58.4 %(set average : 58.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)51.5 %(set average : 51.2 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy54.3 % · 53,263 games
  • 2 copies56.1 % · 22,064 games
  • 3 copies56.6 % · 5,114 games
  • 4 copies or more57.2 % · 1,073 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks55.7 % · 23,815 games
  • Next two weeks55.2 % · 11,453 games
  • After that54.8 % · 4,703 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

B/R · 83 %

Played in 8.7% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Iridescent Vinelasher

    35. Iridescent Vinelasher

    7.2
  • Scavenger's Talent

    44. Scavenger's Talent

    7.0
  • Ruthless Negotiation

    56. Ruthless Negotiation

    6.8
  • Bonecache Overseer

    72. Bonecache Overseer

    6.4

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.