Hugs, Grisly Guardian

Mythic · Legendary Creature — Badger Warrior

Pick rating

6.4GoodRank 77 of 261

Observed strength

58.4%Rank 56 of 265 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Good playable that always makes the cut (6.4/10).

Why. A 5/5 trampler for four mana that also gives you extra cards: pay X to exile the top X cards of your library and play them until the end of your next turn. It also lets you play an additional land each turn.

Risks. It needs two red and two green mana, so both colours must be in place. Exiled cards are lost if you cannot play them in time.

In the draft. A good card for a red-green deck. With enough lands, the effect gets stronger the larger X is.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game58.4 %(set average : 56.0 %)
Card in the opening hand56.6 %(set average : 55.0 %)
Card drawn during the game59.6 %(set average : 56.6 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +7.0 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)60.0 %(set average : 62.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Mythic: rank 16 of 20
  • Multicolour: rank 20 of 39
  • Cost 4: rank 10 of 38
  • Average pick: 2.8 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

9,472 games54.5 %(all pairs : 54.0 %)
357 games48.2 %(all pairs : 54.0 %)
309 games52.4 %(all pairs : 54.0 %)

splash

304 games52.3 %(all pairs : 54.0 %)
246 games50.8 %(all pairs : 54.0 %)
159 games50.3 %(all pairs : 54.0 %)

splash

131 games49.6 %(all pairs : 54.0 %)

splash

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand52.3 %· 878 games
All players, card in hand58.0 %· 4,439 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)57.9 %(set average : 58.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)49.9 %(set average : 51.2 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy53.9 % · 10,773 games
  • 2 copies56.3 % · 398 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks58.4 % · 2,782 games
  • Next two weeks56.7 % · 1,197 games
  • After that58.5 % · 460 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Dreamdew Entrancer

    9. Dreamdew Entrancer

    8.6
  • Ral, Crackling Wit

    63. Ral, Crackling Wit

    6.6
  • Stormsplitter

    93. Stormsplitter

    6.1
  • Lilysplash Mentor

    101. Lilysplash Mentor

    6.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.