Three Tree Mascot

Common · Artifact Creature — Shapeshifter

Pick rating

2.0WeakRank 254 of 261

Observed strength

52.1%Rank 233 of 265 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Not good filler and often gets cut (2.0/10).

Why. A two-mana artifact creature 2/1 with changeling that can make one mana of any colour for one. A small body that helps fix a three-colour deck.

Risks. The body is weak, and the ability makes no net mana: it only converts. A two-mana creature remains filler.

In the draft. A useful filler in splash or three-colour decks. Take it late, once the quality cards are in hand.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game52.1 %(set average : 56.0 %)
Card in the opening hand52.2 %(set average : 55.0 %)
Card drawn during the game52.0 %(set average : 56.6 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -0.6 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)39.0 %(set average : 62.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 75 of 81
  • Colourless: rank 19 of 19
  • Cost 2: rank 82 of 82
  • Average pick: 9.6 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

15,777 games53.3 %(all pairs : 52.5 %)
15,470 games52.9 %(all pairs : 52.5 %)
10,248 games53.4 %(all pairs : 52.5 %)
7,812 games51.6 %(all pairs : 52.5 %)
6,503 games53.3 %(all pairs : 52.5 %)
5,975 games55.3 %(all pairs : 52.5 %)
5,606 games52.0 %(all pairs : 52.5 %)
5,045 games51.8 %(all pairs : 52.5 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand50.2 %· 8,474 games
All players, card in hand52.1 %· 40,332 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)55.6 %(set average : 58.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)49.3 %(set average : 51.2 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy52.5 % · 77,659 games
  • 2 copies52.2 % · 11,276 games
  • 3 copies52.5 % · 1,067 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks52.3 % · 24,539 games
  • Next two weeks51.4 % · 11,235 games
  • After that52.8 % · 4,558 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Short Bow

    201. Short Bow

    4.6
  • Bumbleflower's Sharepot

    239. Bumbleflower's Sharepot

    2.5

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.