Keen Buccaneer
Common · Creature — Octopus Pirate
2.0WeakRank 254 of 271
55.2%Rank 141 of 273 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
It wins more than its rating suggests.
Why this gap?
The pick rating is a prior: it is for choosing a card before there are results. The observed strength comes from real games, and the win rate of a card is stable from one week to the next. The gap often comes from a card that is easy to replace at the pick but very efficient once played, from a good archetype that carries it, or from a flaw of our rating: in a set that already has many games, the results are more reliable than the rating.
Not good filler and often gets cut (2.0/10).
Why. A 2/3 with vigilance for three. Its Exhaust costs two: you draw then discard a card, and it gets a +1/+1 counter. It filters your hand and becomes a 3/4.
Risks. It does nothing impressive on its own and Exhaust activates only once. It is vulnerable to removal before it grows.
In the draft. Decent blue filler, taken late. It fits nearly every blue deck.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +1.5 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 83 of 91
- Blue: rank 32 of 37
- Cost 3: rank 60 of 63
- Average pick: 7.3 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy54.3 % · 116,259 games
- 2 copies54.4 % · 40,865 games
- 3 copies54.3 % · 7,712 games
- 4 copies or more54.7 % · 989 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks55.5 % · 52,464 games
- Next two weeks54.4 % · 25,264 games
- After that54.8 % · 9,321 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Push the Limit3,079 games · 53.9 % (instead of 50.8% expected)
- Full Throttle426 games · 50.7 % (instead of 48.2% expected)
- District Mascot6,127 games · 57.7 % (instead of 56.1% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Reckless Velocitaur1,399 games · 44.7 % (instead of 50.4% expected)
- Repurposing Bay305 games · 43.3 % (instead of 48.3% expected)
Where it is played
R/U · 74 %B/U · 65 %
Played in 20% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
25. Thopter Fabricator
7.6
36. Transit Mage
7.2
50. Broadside Barrage
7.0
80. Stock Up
6.4
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.