Shepherding Spirits

Common · Creature — Spirit

Pick rating

3.8WeakRank 242 of 271

Observed strength

52.0%Rank 228 of 269 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.9%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A good playable, but is sometimes cut (3.8/10).

Why. A 4/5 flyer for six, but above all a card that is never dead: plainscycling for two mana fixes land problems early in the game.

Risks. Six mana with two white is slow, and a 4/5 flyer is not a decisive threat. As a finisher it is solid and no more.

In the draft. A good last slot for a white deck because it fills two roles. Don't take it over your good creatures and removal.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game52.0 %(set average : 55.9 %)
Card in the opening hand49.5 %(set average : 55.0 %)
Card drawn during the game53.8 %(set average : 56.6 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -0.5 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)40.0 %(set average : 62.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 82 of 91
  • White: rank 38 of 41
  • Cost 6: rank 10 of 15
  • Average pick: 9.6 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

27,240 games54.7 %(all pairs : 52.4 %)
22,410 games51.7 %(all pairs : 52.4 %)
14,430 games53.4 %(all pairs : 52.4 %)
12,682 games51.3 %(all pairs : 52.4 %)
3,720 games50.9 %(all pairs : 52.4 %)
3,361 games49.6 %(all pairs : 52.4 %)
1,979 games49.5 %(all pairs : 52.4 %)
1,578 games47.6 %(all pairs : 52.4 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand50.8 %· 8,050 games
All players, card in hand52.0 %· 40,222 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)54.5 %(set average : 56.8 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)50.3 %(set average : 52.1 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy52.5 % · 82,280 games
  • 2 copies51.9 % · 9,488 games
  • 3 copies50.6 % · 541 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks52.1 % · 25,474 games
  • Next two weeks51.5 % · 11,262 games
  • After that52.8 % · 3,486 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

B/W · 47 %G/W · 30 %

Played in 9.4% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Fear of Abduction

    76. Fear of Abduction

    6.4
  • Surgical Suite // Hospital Room

    92. Surgical Suite // Hospital Room

    6.2

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.