Under the Skin

Uncommon · Sorcery

Pick rating

7.0GoodRank 49 of 271

Observed strength

60.3%Rank 28 of 269 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.9%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid uncommon of the format (7.0/10).

Why. A three-mana sorcery that manifests dread and can return a permanent card from your graveyard to hand. You get a 2/2 and a replacement card, and your graveyard fills up.

Risks. If your graveyard holds no permanent card the second half does nothing. It is a slow sorcery that does not answer an opposing threat.

In the draft. A good value pick for a green deck. Take it in a midrange deck; less pressing in a very aggressive one.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game60.3 %(set average : 55.9 %)
Card in the opening hand57.9 %(set average : 55.0 %)
Card drawn during the game61.9 %(set average : 56.6 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +6.7 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)92.0 %(set average : 62.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 17 of 100
  • Green: rank 8 of 42
  • Cost 3: rank 13 of 57
  • Average pick: 3.1 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

37,511 games57.2 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)
33,783 games57.0 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)
24,711 games55.9 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)
11,672 games53.7 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)
4,483 games52.8 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)
4,377 games55.2 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)
3,044 games53.6 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)
2,552 games52.2 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand58.6 %· 16,726 games
All players, card in hand59.7 %· 59,259 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)58.9 %(set average : 56.8 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)52.9 %(set average : 52.1 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy55.7 % · 109,903 games
  • 2 copies57.0 % · 18,075 games
  • 3 copies61.2 % · 1,815 games
  • 4 copies or more63.4 % · 112 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks60.2 % · 34,149 games
  • Next two weeks58.8 % · 18,642 games
  • After that58.9 % · 6,468 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

B/G · 38 %G/U · 35 %

Played in 13% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Tyvar, the Pummeler

    5. Tyvar, the Pummeler

    8.9
  • Zimone, All-Questioning

    33. Zimone, All-Questioning

    7.4
  • Hauntwoods Shrieker

    39. Hauntwoods Shrieker

    7.2
  • Omnivorous Flytrap

    54. Omnivorous Flytrap

    6.8

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.