Shrewd Storyteller
Uncommon · Creature — Human Survivor
4.0WeakRank 233 of 271
50.7%Rank 249 of 269 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.9%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A good playable, but is sometimes cut (4.0/10).
Why. A 3/3 for three, a good body for the curve. Each turn it attacked and is still tapped, Survival puts a +1/+1 counter on a creature of your choice.
Risks. It needs exactly green and white. It must attack to trigger Survival, which is not always safe, and tapping leaves you without a blocker.
In the draft. Take it only if you are already green-white. Otherwise a more flexible single-colour creature is better.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -0.9 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Uncommon: rank 95 of 100
- Multicolour: rank 31 of 34
- Cost 3: rank 51 of 57
- Average pick: 7.9 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
splash
splash
splash
splash
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy52.1 % · 23,017 games
- 2 copies51.1 % · 6,856 games
- 3 copies50.0 % · 1,324 games
- 4 copies or more53.2 % · 173 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks51.2 % · 9,453 games
- Next two weeks51.9 % · 3,729 games
- After that52.6 % · 1,100 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Dazzling Theater // Prop Room1,055 games · 47.5 % (instead of 42.6% expected)
- Baseball Bat14,342 games · 52.1 % (instead of 48.2% expected)
- Rip, Spawn Hunter7,227 games · 52.0 % (instead of 48.9% expected)
- Hedge Shredder3,337 games · 52.5 % (instead of 49.8% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Abandoned Campground2,370 games · 48.1 % (instead of 51.8% expected)
- Raucous Carnival1,982 games · 49.6 % (instead of 52.2% expected)
Where it is played
G/W · 63 %
Played in 3.2% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
5. Tyvar, the Pummeler
8.9
19. Unidentified Hovership
7.9
20. Toby, Beastie Befriender
7.8
27. Enduring Innocence
7.5
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.