Seeker's Folly
Uncommon · Sorcery
6.4GoodRank 82 of 271
56.7%Rank 82 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
Good playable that always makes the cut (6.4/10).
Why. A two-mode sorcery: the opponent discards two cards, or their creatures get -1/-1 until end of turn. The discard shines early, while the second mode can wipe a board of small tokens.
Risks. The discard mode does nothing on board, and -1/-1 only kills creatures with one toughness. Against a deck that empties its hand fast it is weak.
In the draft. A black support spell. Take it after removal and good creatures, as a flexible card.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +3.4 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Uncommon: rank 29 of 101
- Black: rank 14 of 43
- Cost 3: rank 27 of 69
- Average pick: 6.9 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy54.5 % · 55,621 games
- 2 copies56.5 % · 3,678 games
- 3 copies50.8 % · 122 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks56.4 % · 15,471 games
- Next two weeks57.0 % · 9,957 games
- After that56.7 % · 1,412 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Tolarian Terror7,081 games · 55.4 % (instead of 52.5% expected)
- Micromancer7,207 games · 58.6 % (instead of 56.3% expected)
- Aegis Turtle1,443 games · 52.7 % (instead of 50.5% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Bite Down3,040 games · 51.2 % (instead of 54.4% expected)
- Wary Thespian3,036 games · 51.4 % (instead of 54.3% expected)
- Swiftfoot Boots644 games · 45.5 % (instead of 48.4% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
24. Dreadwing Scavenger
7.6
29. Alesha, Who Laughs at Fate
7.4
51. Abyssal Harvester
6.9
64. Hero's Downfall
6.6
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.