Sure Strike
Common · Instant
4.4WeakRank 218 of 271
52.4%Rank 201 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A good playable, but is sometimes cut (4.4/10).
Why. A two-mana instant that gives a creature +3/+0 and first strike for the turn. It wins a combat against a bigger creature or deals a lot of damage on an attack.
Risks. A combat trick exposes you to a two-for-one: if the target is killed in response, the card is lost. It does nothing without a creature, and it is not removal.
In the draft. A low pick for an aggressive red deck with plenty of creatures. Take it after removal and good creatures.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -1.8 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 62 of 90
- Red: rank 35 of 43
- Cost 2: rank 43 of 57
- Average pick: 10.8 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy53.4 % · 49,794 games
- 2 copies53.4 % · 8,406 games
- 3 copies52.3 % · 554 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks52.1 % · 17,052 games
- Next two weeks52.8 % · 7,035 games
- After that55.8 % · 987 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Broken Wings970 games · 52.7 % (instead of 48.7% expected)
- Raise the Past726 games · 53.9 % (instead of 50.6% expected)
- Hare Apparent2,357 games · 53.7 % (instead of 50.9% expected)
- Twinblade Blessing867 games · 51.1 % (instead of 48.4% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Thousand-Year Storm228 games · 35.5 % (instead of 40.9% expected)
- Rite of the Dragoncaller1,443 games · 46.3 % (instead of 49.9% expected)
- Sire of Seven Deaths1,268 games · 53.1 % (instead of 55.4% expected)
Where it is played
R/W · 48 %R/U · 47 %
Played in 7.6% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
12. Searslicer Goblin
8.4
28. Abrade
7.4
55. Ruby, Daring Tracker
6.8
63. Heartfire Immolator
6.6
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.