Elvenking's Harper
Common · Creature — Elf Bard
4.2WeakRank 155 of 188
53.6%Rank 116 of 179 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.5%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A good playable, but is sometimes cut (4.2/10).
Why. A two-mana 2/2 that can make a creature unblockable for five mana (four plus one blue). It fills the curve early and becomes, late in the game, a way to get your best creature through.
Risks. The activation is expensive, and it only applies for one turn. The 2/2 is still a small body, with no evasion or other use before you have a lot of mana.
In the draft. A blue deck filler, useful for the curve. Take it late, unless you have heavy creatures that benefit from the activation.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +3.1 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 48 of 65
- Blue: rank 23 of 28
- Cost 2: rank 50 of 55
- Average pick: 11.2 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy52.5 % · 19,034 games
- 2 copies53.1 % · 4,135 games
- 3 copies54.1 % · 501 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks53.3 % · 8,051 games
- Next two weeks56.0 % · 2,528 games
- After that56.6 % · 1,808 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Wizard's Staff266 games · 41.7 % (instead of 37.6% expected)
- Nori, Teller of Tales1,952 games · 55.6 % (instead of 51.9% expected)
- The Notary Hobbits545 games · 51.4 % (instead of 47.7% expected)
- Moment of Glory1,933 games · 52.5 % (instead of 49.0% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Crude Bent Blade1,577 games · 49.1 % (instead of 54.2% expected)
- Mirkwood1,346 games · 47.8 % (instead of 52.4% expected)
- Duskwatch Hunter1,191 games · 48.6 % (instead of 53.0% expected)
Where it is played
G/U · 43 %
Played in 7.7% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
20. Bilbo, Thief in the Night
7.4
26. Bilbo, Luckwearer // Burglar's Plot
7.2
47. Master's Councillors
6.6
51. Plunder the Trollshaws
6.5
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.