Kozilek's Command

Rare · Kindred Instant — Eldrazi

Pick rating

8.5BombRank 11 of 302

Observed strength

60.0%Rank 23 of 298 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Incredible bomb, but not unbeatable (8.5/10).

Why. A flexible instant: choose two among Eldrazi Spawn creature tokens, scry then draw, exiling a creature with mana value X or less, or exiling cards from graveyards. Depending on X it is removal plus value, or two useful effects at once.

Risks. It needs two exact colourless mana, which only some sources produce, and the effect scales on X. In a deck without colourless mana it sits in your hand.

In the draft. A fair pick for Eldrazi or Spawn decks, not for a two-colour deck with no colourless source. Count your colourless sources before making room for it.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game60.0 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand57.4 %(set average : 55.6 %)
Card drawn during the game61.7 %(set average : 56.7 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +7.1 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)80.0 %(set average : 67.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Rare: rank 5 of 78
  • Colourless: rank 2 of 85
  • Cost 2: rank 5 of 86
  • Average pick: 2.5 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

8,437 games55.6 %(all pairs : 55.3 %)
5,487 games59.0 %(all pairs : 55.3 %)
5,451 games56.0 %(all pairs : 55.3 %)
1,331 games53.0 %(all pairs : 55.3 %)
862 games53.9 %(all pairs : 55.3 %)
753 games48.9 %(all pairs : 55.3 %)
649 games51.6 %(all pairs : 55.3 %)
604 games54.1 %(all pairs : 55.3 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand58.9 %· 2,402 games
All players, card in hand59.6 %· 11,098 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)58.7 %(set average : 58.8 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)52.0 %(set average : 51.4 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy55.2 % · 25,763 games
  • 2 copies57.3 % · 1,432 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks59.7 % · 6,552 games
  • Next two weeks59.7 % · 3,355 games
  • After that58.4 % · 1,191 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Wastescape Battlemage

    39. Wastescape Battlemage

    7.3
  • Propagator Drone

    51. Propagator Drone

    7.0
  • Basking Broodscale

    69. Basking Broodscale

    6.6
  • Emrakul's Messenger

    71. Emrakul's Messenger

    6.6

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.