Ral, Monsoon Mage // Ral, Leyline Prodigy
Mythic · Legendary Creature — Human Wizard // Legendary Planeswalker — Ral
6.0PlayableRank 116 of 302
50.6%Rank 258 of 298 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
It wins less than its rating suggests.
Why this gap?
The pick rating is a prior: it is for choosing a card before there are results. The observed strength comes from real games, and the win rate of a card is stable from one week to the next. The gap often comes from a card that is easy to replace at the pick but very efficient once played, from a good archetype that carries it, or from a flaw of our rating: in a set that already has many games, the results are more reliable than the rating.
Good playable that always makes the cut (6.0/10).
Why. A two-mana creature that makes your instants and sorceries cost one less, and can flip into a planeswalker if you win a coin flip when you cast one on your turn. The planeswalker deals divided damage and draws if you control another blue permanent.
Risks. It depends on a coin flip and can deal damage to you. In a draft deck with few spells it is a 1/3 that does almost nothing.
In the draft. Only take it if you play lots of instants and sorceries. Otherwise let it go by.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -1.1 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Mythic: rank 18 of 24
- Red: rank 12 of 33
- Cost 2: rank 40 of 86
- Average pick: 3.7 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy51.2 % · 6,660 games
- 2 copies52.7 % · 150 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks50.5 % · 1,860 games
- Next two weeks50.1 % · 805 games
- After that52.9 % · 204 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Glyph Elemental427 games · 57.8 % (instead of 52.8% expected)
- Genku, Future Shaper344 games · 55.5 % (instead of 50.7% expected)
- Nyxborn Hydra386 games · 55.4 % (instead of 51.5% expected)
- Nightshade Dryad542 games · 56.3 % (instead of 52.4% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Waterlogged Teachings // Inundated Archive470 games · 43.6 % (instead of 49.5% expected)
- Evolution Witness356 games · 45.5 % (instead of 50.9% expected)
- Retrofitted Transmogrant446 games · 45.3 % (instead of 49.5% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
6. Amped Raptor
8.9
24. Party Thrasher
7.7
47. Conduit Goblin
7.0
55. Unstable Amulet
7.0
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.