Tamiyo Meets the Story Circle

Uncommon · Enchantment — Saga

Pick rating

2.0WeakRank 291 of 302

Observed strength

49.2%Rank 271 of 298 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Not good filler and often gets cut (2.0/10).

Why. A two-mana blue Saga: the first chapter gives -2/-0 to creatures attacking you, the second turns each discarded card into two Clues, the third shuffles up to three cards from your graveyard back into your library. A slow filter.

Risks. It has no body and rarely changes the game. Clues cost mana to use.

In the draft. A filler playable for slow blue decks. Take it late.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game49.2 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand43.4 %(set average : 55.6 %)
Card drawn during the game52.8 %(set average : 56.7 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -1.4 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)37.0 %(set average : 67.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 113 of 120
  • Blue: rank 29 of 30
  • Cost 2: rank 85 of 86
  • Average pick: 9.6 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

10,545 games52.0 %(all pairs : 50.1 %)
4,883 games49.1 %(all pairs : 50.1 %)
2,674 games51.3 %(all pairs : 50.1 %)
2,158 games49.2 %(all pairs : 50.1 %)
2,120 games51.3 %(all pairs : 50.1 %)
1,724 games48.3 %(all pairs : 50.1 %)
944 games47.6 %(all pairs : 50.1 %)
924 games48.6 %(all pairs : 50.1 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand48.1 %· 2,894 games
All players, card in hand49.0 %· 13,302 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)53.4 %(set average : 58.8 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)46.9 %(set average : 51.4 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy50.3 % · 24,913 games
  • 2 copies48.5 % · 2,761 games
  • 3 copies41.5 % · 118 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks49.7 % · 7,890 games
  • Next two weeks47.8 % · 3,906 games
  • After that48.0 % · 1,506 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Psychic Frog

    9. Psychic Frog

    8.7
  • Volatile Stormdrake

    37. Volatile Stormdrake

    7.4
  • Roil Cartographer

    40. Roil Cartographer

    7.2
  • Riddle Gate Gargoyle

    52. Riddle Gate Gargoyle

    7.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.