Crowd of True Believers

Common · Creature — Human Citizen

Pick rating

5.0PlayableRank 179 of 276

Observed strength

55.9%Rank 130 of 273 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.8%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid playable that rarely gets cut (5.0/10).

Why. A one-mana 1/2 that taps to give +1/+0 to a creature attacking alone and gain 1 life. Useful in a deck that attacks with one creature at a time.

Risks. It needs a solo attack, and the body is small enough that it does little by itself.

In the draft. An acceptable filler for white decks that attack with one creature at a time. Take it as a curve play, with no urgency.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game55.9 %(set average : 56.8 %)
Card in the opening hand57.4 %(set average : 55.6 %)
Card drawn during the game54.7 %(set average : 57.5 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -0.4 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)34.0 %(set average : 63.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 37 of 91
  • White: rank 35 of 42
  • Cost 1: rank 15 of 26
  • Average pick: 9.9 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

15,809 games57.5 %(all pairs : 56.4 %)
6,098 games55.2 %(all pairs : 56.4 %)
6,050 games56.8 %(all pairs : 56.4 %)
3,728 games54.5 %(all pairs : 56.4 %)
1,041 games59.9 %(all pairs : 56.4 %)
719 games53.7 %(all pairs : 56.4 %)
397 games52.6 %(all pairs : 56.4 %)
317 games52.1 %(all pairs : 56.4 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand54.1 %· 3,958 games
All players, card in hand56.3 %· 16,411 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)58.8 %(set average : 58.6 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)54.2 %(set average : 53.6 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy56.2 % · 28,409 games
  • 2 copies57.5 % · 5,782 games
  • 3 copies57.8 % · 708 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks56.9 % · 9,630 games
  • Next two weeks55.3 % · 5,974 games
  • After that57.9 % · 807 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

B/W · 25 %

Played in 9.2% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Agent Maria Hill

    54. Agent Maria Hill

    6.8
  • Political Triumph

    57. Political Triumph

    6.8
  • Nick Fury, Agent of S.H.I.E.L.D.

    68. Nick Fury, Agent of S.H.I.E.L.D.

    6.6
  • Helicarrier Strike

    103. Helicarrier Strike

    6.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.