Decoy Ploy

Common · Instant

Pick rating

4.2WeakRank 227 of 276

Observed strength

51.5%Rank 239 of 273 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.8%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A good playable, but is sometimes cut (4.2/10).

Why. A two-mana instant that returns a Villain and/or a Hero card from your graveyard to your hand. With both types in the graveyard it replaces two cards at once.

Risks. It does nothing with an empty graveyard, and nothing on the board. It is a slow, reactive card.

In the draft. Filler for black decks that include both Heroes and Villains. Not before real creatures.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game51.5 %(set average : 56.8 %)
Card in the opening hand46.9 %(set average : 55.6 %)
Card drawn during the game54.3 %(set average : 57.5 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -1.9 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)22.0 %(set average : 63.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 59 of 91
  • Black: rank 30 of 39
  • Cost 2: rank 53 of 63
  • Average pick: 10.9 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

6,841 games54.0 %(all pairs : 52.8 %)
4,066 games55.4 %(all pairs : 52.8 %)
3,298 games52.0 %(all pairs : 52.8 %)
2,680 games48.1 %(all pairs : 52.8 %)
749 games50.7 %(all pairs : 52.8 %)
746 games55.6 %(all pairs : 52.8 %)
661 games48.7 %(all pairs : 52.8 %)
567 games52.2 %(all pairs : 52.8 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand53.4 %· 2,143 games
All players, card in hand51.6 %· 9,657 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)55.0 %(set average : 58.6 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)50.7 %(set average : 53.6 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy52.9 % · 20,726 games
  • 2 copies51.5 % · 984 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks51.5 % · 6,447 games
  • Next two weeks51.0 % · 2,776 games
  • After that56.7 % · 434 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

B/W · 30 %

Played in 6.0% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • The Ruinous Wrecking Crew

    13. The Ruinous Wrecking Crew

    8.3
  • Dark Deed

    35. Dark Deed

    7.3
  • Black Widow, Super Spy

    43. Black Widow, Super Spy

    7.0
  • Winter Soldier, Icy Assassin

    58. Winter Soldier, Icy Assassin

    6.8

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.