Surrak, Elusive Hunter
Rare · Legendary Creature — Human Warrior
7.8Very goodRank 20 of 271
60.7%Rank 20 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
One of the very best rares of the format (7.8/10).
Why. A 4/3 with trample for three mana, which is efficient from turn three. It can't be countered, and whenever an opponent targets one of your creatures (or a creature spell), you draw a card.
Risks. Three toughness, so it is vulnerable to small damage spells and combat. A targeted removal spell kills it but at least draws you a card.
In the draft. A good green creature, take it early. It fits almost every green deck.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +8.5 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Rare: rank 11 of 60
- Green: rank 2 of 34
- Cost 3: rank 4 of 60
- Average pick: 1.6 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy56.2 % · 29,190 games
- 2 copies56.4 % · 984 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks61.0 % · 8,407 games
- Next two weeks61.3 % · 3,831 games
- After that58.6 % · 1,351 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Qarsi Revenant1,420 games · 61.8 % (instead of 58.0% expected)
- Betor, Kin to All973 games · 59.9 % (instead of 56.6% expected)
- Craterhoof Behemoth945 games · 58.5 % (instead of 55.2% expected)
- Jade-Cast Sentinel853 games · 55.9 % (instead of 53.3% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Salt Road Packbeast1,947 games · 54.5 % (instead of 57.7% expected)
- Nomad Outpost1,541 games · 53.3 % (instead of 56.3% expected)
- Fortress Kin-Guard1,567 games · 55.1 % (instead of 57.6% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
17. Warden of the Grove
8.0
38. Temur Battlecrier
7.2
40. Awaken the Honored Dead
7.1
56. Songcrafter Mage
6.8
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.