Tersa Lightshatter
Rare · Legendary Creature — Orc Wizard
7.7Very goodRank 21 of 271
58.1%Rank 50 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
One of the very best rares of the format (7.7/10).
Why. A 3/3 with haste for three mana. When it enters, you discard up to two cards, then draw that many: good filtering for extra lands. Whenever it attacks with seven or more cards in your graveyard, you exile one at random and may play it this turn.
Risks. The graveyard effect is slow and random. It is mostly a solid body with a small bonus; it does not swing a game alone.
In the draft. A good mid-curve body for red decks. Take it at a fair price, behind your removal and your best threats.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +3.9 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Rare: rank 12 of 60
- Red: rank 3 of 34
- Cost 3: rank 5 of 60
- Average pick: 1.9 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy56.4 % · 27,702 games
- 2 copies58.1 % · 875 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks58.9 % · 7,454 games
- Next two weeks58.6 % · 3,417 games
- After that60.0 % · 1,372 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Wingspan Stride397 games · 54.4 % (instead of 51.1% expected)
- Mardu Siegebreaker1,534 games · 57.7 % (instead of 55.8% expected)
- Neriv, Heart of the Storm608 games · 58.6 % (instead of 56.7% expected)
- Reverberating Summons818 games · 54.4 % (instead of 52.6% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- New Way Forward1,154 games · 50.3 % (instead of 54.0% expected)
- Dusyut Earthcarver1,534 games · 51.9 % (instead of 55.5% expected)
- Boulderborn Dragon1,488 games · 50.3 % (instead of 53.7% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
35. Windcrag Siege
7.3
36. Zurgo, Thunder's Decree
7.2
38. Temur Battlecrier
7.2
46. Rediscover the Way
7.0
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.