Warden of the Grove

Rare · Creature — Hydra

Pick rating

8.0Very goodRank 17 of 271

Observed strength

61.3%Rank 12 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

One of the very best rares of the format (8.0/10).

Why. A 2/2 that gets a +1/+1 counter at each of your end steps, and makes every other nontoken creature you control endure X as it enters, where X is the number of counters on it. Played early, each creature that follows arrives with counters or a white Spirit creature token.

Risks. At first it is a 2/2 that dies to any removal. If you have no nontoken creatures to play afterwards, the effect stays small.

In the draft. Very good in green with a creature-heavy curve. Plan it as a turn-three play; it is worse in a deck full of spells.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game61.3 %(set average : 56.0 %)
Card in the opening hand63.0 %(set average : 54.9 %)
Card drawn during the game60.1 %(set average : 56.7 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +9.3 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)96.0 %(set average : 65.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Rare: rank 8 of 60
  • Green: rank 1 of 34
  • Cost 3: rank 3 of 60
  • Average pick: 1.4 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

7,454 games56.7 %(all pairs : 56.2 %)
7,105 games55.9 %(all pairs : 56.2 %)
4,806 games57.2 %(all pairs : 56.2 %)
2,303 games55.6 %(all pairs : 56.2 %)
2,035 games56.7 %(all pairs : 56.2 %)
1,291 games58.9 %(all pairs : 56.2 %)
1,038 games52.7 %(all pairs : 56.2 %)
951 games56.7 %(all pairs : 56.2 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand59.8 %· 2,789 games
All players, card in hand61.0 %· 13,301 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)58.9 %(set average : 58.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)53.4 %(set average : 52.1 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy56.2 % · 28,748 games
  • 2 copies56.5 % · 848 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks60.8 % · 8,232 games
  • Next two weeks61.8 % · 3,680 games
  • After that59.6 % · 1,389 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Surrak, Elusive Hunter

    20. Surrak, Elusive Hunter

    7.8
  • Temur Battlecrier

    38. Temur Battlecrier

    7.2
  • Awaken the Honored Dead

    40. Awaken the Honored Dead

    7.1
  • Songcrafter Mage

    56. Songcrafter Mage

    6.8

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.