Rediscover the Way

Rare · Enchantment — Saga

Pick rating

7.0GoodRank 46 of 271

Observed strength

58.9%Rank 35 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A very good rare of the format (7.0/10).

Why. A Saga that sorts your library: chapters I and II let you look at the top three cards, keep one in hand and put the rest on the bottom. At chapter III, each noncreature spell you cast this turn gives a target creature double strike until end of turn.

Risks. It adds nothing to the board before chapter III, and three exact colours for a selection effect is demanding. It does not win the game alone.

In the draft. A good pick in a white-blue-red deck with many noncreature spells. In a creature deck it is fine, not essential.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game58.9 %(set average : 56.0 %)
Card in the opening hand56.4 %(set average : 54.9 %)
Card drawn during the game60.4 %(set average : 56.7 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +6.9 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)77.0 %(set average : 65.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Rare: rank 32 of 60
  • Multicolour: rank 21 of 66
  • Cost 3: rank 14 of 60
  • Average pick: 4.0 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

15,068 games56.3 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)
2,499 games56.0 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)
2,147 games55.7 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)

splash

1,595 games54.6 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)
814 games56.3 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)

splash

634 games55.4 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)

splash

502 games56.4 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)
378 games53.7 %(all pairs : 55.9 %)

splash

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand58.4 %· 2,829 games
All players, card in hand59.0 %· 11,532 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)58.8 %(set average : 58.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)53.1 %(set average : 52.1 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy55.9 % · 22,671 games
  • 2 copies56.8 % · 1,749 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks58.3 % · 6,865 games
  • Next two weeks59.2 % · 3,319 games
  • After that61.7 % · 1,348 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Sage of the Skies

    3. Sage of the Skies

    9.1
  • Tersa Lightshatter

    21. Tersa Lightshatter

    7.7
  • Dragonologist

    26. Dragonologist

    7.5
  • Anafenza, Unyielding Lineage

    29. Anafenza, Unyielding Lineage

    7.4

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.