Earthbending Lesson

Common · Sorcery — Lesson

Pick rating

2.0WeakRank 262 of 281

Observed strength

51.8%Rank 243 of 279 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Not good filler and often gets cut (2.0/10).

Why. A four-mana Lesson that does Earthbend 4: a land becomes a 4/4 creature with haste, and it comes back tapped if it dies. It is a creature in sorcery form, resilient to removal.

Risks. You expose a land: if it dies it returns tapped, but you lose tempo. Four mana for a 4/4 is the usual rate, with no bonus.

In the draft. Fair green filler. Take it after your better creatures, especially if you have effects that count Lessons.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game51.8 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand49.2 %(set average : 55.4 %)
Card drawn during the game53.5 %(set average : 56.8 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -1.5 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)37.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 83 of 91
  • Green: rank 35 of 39
  • Cost 4: rank 46 of 52
  • Average pick: 10.3 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

8,743 games54.2 %(all pairs : 53.4 %)
8,654 games52.7 %(all pairs : 53.4 %)
6,933 games53.1 %(all pairs : 53.4 %)
5,311 games53.9 %(all pairs : 53.4 %)
4,014 games54.5 %(all pairs : 53.4 %)
1,884 games57.8 %(all pairs : 53.4 %)
1,487 games49.9 %(all pairs : 53.4 %)
1,222 games51.8 %(all pairs : 53.4 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand51.6 %· 5,020 games
All players, card in hand52.3 %· 19,695 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)56.9 %(set average : 59.1 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)49.8 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy53.6 % · 31,525 games
  • 2 copies52.6 % · 8,180 games
  • 3 copies52.5 % · 1,091 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks52.3 % · 11,262 games
  • Next two weeks52.4 % · 5,184 games
  • After that52.0 % · 3,249 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

G/R · 40 %G/U · 36 %

Played in 7.5% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • The Earth King

    12. The Earth King

    8.4
  • Beifong's Bounty Hunters

    35. Beifong's Bounty Hunters

    7.4
  • Avatar Aang // Aang, Master of Elements

    43. Avatar Aang // Aang, Master of Elements

    7.0
  • Diligent Zookeeper

    66. Diligent Zookeeper

    6.6

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.