Manhole Missile
Common · Instant
6.6GoodRank 44 of 190
59.8%Rank 36 of 184 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 57.7%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
One of the best commons of the format (6.6/10).
Why. A two-mana instant that deals 3 damage to a creature, then lets you put a card from your hand on the bottom of your library to draw a fresh one. It's cheap removal that also improves your hand.
Risks. Three damage doesn't stop large creatures. The draw effect replaces a card rather than adding one.
In the draft. A solid common removal spell. Take it fairly early if you're red, ahead of average creatures.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +3.5 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 4 of 67
- Red: rank 4 of 27
- Cost 2: rank 16 of 52
- Average pick: 5.4 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy56.8 % · 27,126 games
- 2 copies58.5 % · 17,290 games
- 3 copies59.8 % · 5,588 games
- 4 copies or more62.0 % · 1,191 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks59.5 % · 18,576 games
- Next two weeks60.4 % · 8,519 games
- After that62.9 % · 1,713 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Technodrome2,788 games · 60.3 % (instead of 57.8% expected)
- Krang, Master Mind5,515 games · 61.1 % (instead of 59.0% expected)
- Negate771 games · 50.8 % (instead of 48.8% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Michelangelo's Technique198 games · 42.4 % (instead of 53.9% expected)
- Michelangelo, Improviser232 games · 47.0 % (instead of 54.7% expected)
- Party Dude175 games · 44.6 % (instead of 51.2% expected)
Where it is played
R/U · 77 %G/R · 71 %
Played in 28% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
5. Casey Jones, Jury-Rig Justiciar
8.8
17. Ravenous Robots
7.6
39. Mechanized Ninja Cavalry
6.8
54. Mouser Foundry
6.4
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.