North Wind Avatar

Mythic · Creature — Dragon Spirit Avatar

Pick rating

7.2Very goodRank 27 of 190

Observed strength

62.0%Rank 16 of 184 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 57.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A very good mythic of the format (7.2/10).

Why. A five-mana 5/5 flier: an efficient aerial threat that dominates combat. Its effect on a card from outside the game depends on the event and often does nothing online: do not count on it, the body is enough.

Risks. It needs two blue mana and a red one, which ties it to blue-red. Removal is its only real answer.

In the draft. A good finisher for a blue-red deck. Take it in those colors, but do not overvalue it.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game62.0 %(set average : 57.7 %)
Card in the opening hand58.1 %(set average : 56.4 %)
Card drawn during the game64.2 %(set average : 58.6 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +7.4 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)87.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Mythic: rank 3 of 15
  • Multicolour: rank 6 of 33
  • Cost 5: rank 5 of 23
  • Average pick: 2.6 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

5,082 games58.3 %(all pairs : 58.0 %)
867 games56.5 %(all pairs : 58.0 %)

splash

781 games57.5 %(all pairs : 58.0 %)
343 games55.1 %(all pairs : 58.0 %)
263 games62.7 %(all pairs : 58.0 %)
263 games61.6 %(all pairs : 58.0 %)

splash

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand62.2 %· 743 games
All players, card in hand62.2 %· 3,589 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)60.8 %(set average : 59.4 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)55.3 %(set average : 54.2 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy57.8 % · 7,684 games
  • 2 copies63.5 % · 233 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks62.0 % · 2,601 games
  • Next two weeks62.1 % · 832 games
  • After that66.0 % · 156 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Metalhead

    4. Metalhead

    8.9
  • Baxter Stockman

    13. Baxter Stockman

    7.9
  • Don & Leo, Problem Solvers

    21. Don & Leo, Problem Solvers

    7.4
  • General Traag, Heart of Stone

    42. General Traag, Heart of Stone

    6.7

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.