Old Hob, Alleycat Blues

Uncommon · Legendary Creature — Cat Mutant Rebel

Pick rating

4.8WeakRank 135 of 190

Observed strength

51.9%Rank 162 of 184 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 57.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid playable that rarely gets cut (4.8/10).

Why. A 4/4 for five that makes a hasty 2/2 red Mutant creature token at the start of each of your combats. You get an extra attacker every turn without spending a card, which keeps the pressure on.

Risks. The token is destroyed at end of turn, so it never defends. The white ability that makes it indestructible only matters if you are white, and it costs extra mana.

In the draft. A solid five-drop for aggressive decks, clearly better with white. Take it mid-pack if you are red, without overpaying.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game51.9 %(set average : 57.7 %)
Card in the opening hand50.7 %(set average : 56.4 %)
Card drawn during the game52.7 %(set average : 58.6 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -0.8 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)46.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 45 of 55
  • Red: rank 13 of 27
  • Cost 5: rank 13 of 23
  • Average pick: 6.9 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

7,130 games55.0 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
1,264 games49.8 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
515 games47.8 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
399 games47.9 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
177 games44.1 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
117 games41.0 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)
113 games40.7 %(all pairs : 53.0 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand53.5 %· 650 games
All players, card in hand53.1 %· 4,373 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)56.0 %(set average : 59.4 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)50.1 %(set average : 54.2 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy53.0 % · 9,122 games
  • 2 copies53.2 % · 1,170 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks53.2 % · 3,125 games
  • Next two weeks53.3 % · 1,061 games
  • After that49.2 % · 187 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

R/W · 46 %B/R · 31 %

Played in 5.9% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Baxter Stockman

    13. Baxter Stockman

    7.9
  • North Wind Avatar

    27. North Wind Avatar

    7.2
  • General Traag, Heart of Stone

    42. General Traag, Heart of Stone

    6.7
  • Broadcast Takeover

    149. Broadcast Takeover

    4.4

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.