Reptilian Recruiter

Uncommon · Creature — Lizard Warrior

Pick rating

5.2PlayableRank 161 of 261

Observed strength

53.3%Rank 209 of 265 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.0%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid playable that rarely gets cut (5.2/10).

Why. A 4/2 trampler for five mana whose arrival steals a creature with power 2 or less for the turn, or any creature if you control another Lizard. It sets up a big attack.

Risks. Five mana for two toughness is fragile and costly. The steal only lasts a turn and can't take big creatures without another Lizard.

In the draft. A niche finisher for an aggressive black-red deck. Don't take it high.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game53.3 %(set average : 56.0 %)
Card in the opening hand51.7 %(set average : 55.0 %)
Card drawn during the game54.3 %(set average : 56.6 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -0.7 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)43.0 %(set average : 62.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 72 of 100
  • Red: rank 22 of 41
  • Cost 5: rank 14 of 26
  • Average pick: 8.0 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

25,035 games55.7 %(all pairs : 53.8 %)
6,525 games51.2 %(all pairs : 53.8 %)
5,411 games51.5 %(all pairs : 53.8 %)
949 games42.4 %(all pairs : 53.8 %)
545 games51.6 %(all pairs : 53.8 %)
362 games48.6 %(all pairs : 53.8 %)
207 games45.9 %(all pairs : 53.8 %)
198 games50.0 %(all pairs : 53.8 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand52.7 %· 2,702 games
All players, card in hand53.4 %· 15,743 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)58.3 %(set average : 58.0 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)49.2 %(set average : 51.2 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy53.9 % · 34,163 games
  • 2 copies52.9 % · 5,054 games
  • 3 copies52.7 % · 264 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks53.5 % · 10,379 games
  • Next two weeks54.0 % · 3,813 games
  • After that51.1 % · 1,551 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

  • Bakersbane Duo3,258 games · 50.4 % (instead of 54.6% expected)
  • Stormsplitter165 games · 42.4 % (instead of 46.1% expected)
  • Short Bow2,562 games · 48.8 % (instead of 52.2% expected)

Where it is played

B/R · 36 %

Played in 4.3% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Dragonhawk, Fate's Tempest

    11. Dragonhawk, Fate's Tempest

    8.4
  • Season of the Bold

    118. Season of the Bold

    5.8
  • Quaketusk Boar

    131. Quaketusk Boar

    5.6
  • Alania, Divergent Storm

    181. Alania, Divergent Storm

    4.8

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.