Bedhead Beastie
Common · Creature — Beast
2.0WeakRank 252 of 271
50.9%Rank 246 of 269 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.9%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
Not good filler and often gets cut (2.0/10).
Why. A 5/6 with menace for six: a hefty finisher that forces a double block. Mountaincycling for two mana keeps you from getting stuck with it in hand.
Risks. Six mana with two red is slow, and a well-placed removal spell handles it. It has no flying or trample.
In the draft. An acceptable common finisher for a red deck. It does the job, but you will find stronger cards before it.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -1.5 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 87 of 91
- Red: rank 38 of 41
- Cost 6: rank 13 of 15
- Average pick: 10.6 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy52.0 % · 68,131 games
- 2 copies50.8 % · 5,532 games
- 3 copies46.0 % · 163 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks51.2 % · 19,212 games
- Next two weeks50.7 % · 9,081 games
- After that51.2 % · 2,852 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Walk-In Closet // Forgotten Cellar264 games · 51.5 % (instead of 46.5% expected)
- Dazzling Theater // Prop Room302 games · 46.7 % (instead of 42.7% expected)
- Possessed Goat2,524 games · 51.9 % (instead of 49.1% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Stalked Researcher5,349 games · 47.5 % (instead of 51.1% expected)
- Vanish from Sight4,995 games · 49.6 % (instead of 52.7% expected)
- Glimmerburst5,728 games · 49.8 % (instead of 52.6% expected)
Where it is played
B/R · 30 %G/R · 26 %
Played in 7.6% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
1. Overlord of the Boilerbilges
9.4
77. Fear of Burning Alive
6.4
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.