Break Down the Door

Uncommon · Instant

Pick rating

6.4GoodRank 74 of 271

Observed strength

55.9%Rank 107 of 269 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.9%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Good playable that always makes the cut (6.4/10).

Why. A three-mana instant with three modes: exile an artifact, exile an enchantment, or Manifest dread for a face-down 2/2 and a fuller graveyard. It is rarely dead in hand.

Risks. No mode answers an opposing creature. The third mode alone is a slightly pricey 2/2 for three; the rest depends on what the opponent plays.

In the draft. A flexible green card. Play one copy, more for the instant-speed flexibility than for raw power.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game55.9 %(set average : 55.9 %)
Card in the opening hand53.7 %(set average : 55.0 %)
Card drawn during the game57.4 %(set average : 56.6 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +2.0 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)88.0 %(set average : 62.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 32 of 100
  • Green: rank 12 of 42
  • Cost 3: rank 20 of 57
  • Average pick: 4.9 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

32,573 games55.6 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)
25,854 games55.5 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)
19,912 games54.6 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)
9,640 games52.2 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)
3,690 games53.7 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)
3,024 games52.7 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)
2,528 games50.9 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)
1,911 games51.4 %(all pairs : 54.6 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand54.7 %· 12,067 games
All players, card in hand55.7 %· 45,187 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)57.5 %(set average : 56.8 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)51.6 %(set average : 52.1 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy54.5 % · 92,883 games
  • 2 copies54.7 % · 10,256 games
  • 3 copies53.3 % · 569 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks56.4 % · 25,877 games
  • Next two weeks54.8 % · 14,336 games
  • After that54.7 % · 4,974 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

G/U · 34 %B/G · 30 %

Played in 10% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Tyvar, the Pummeler

    5. Tyvar, the Pummeler

    8.9
  • Zimone, All-Questioning

    33. Zimone, All-Questioning

    7.4
  • Hauntwoods Shrieker

    39. Hauntwoods Shrieker

    7.2
  • Under the Skin

    49. Under the Skin

    7.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.